Laugharne Estuary Comprehensive September 2026 Water Quality & Incident Report
Monitoring during September 2026 revealed an event across the Laugharne Estuary, reversing August’s clean baseline. Initial testing on 18 September recorded a Phosphate surge (1.34 mg/L) and an acidic drop in marine pH (6.9). Targeted re-testing on 21September at 15:30 recorded an Ammonia spike of 1.64 mg/L at Frog Rock (SN 30516 10348,~40m from the STW outfall).
We have asked NRW and Dwr Cymru to investigate.
Key Findings from 21 September 2026 Follow-Up
Acute Ammonia Spike at Frog Rock (1.64 mg/L): Ammonia at Frog Rock surged from 0.45 mg/L to 1.64 mg/L (over 16x above baseline).
Downstream Nitrogen Transformation (1.29 mg/L Nitrate): Nitrate LR at Path by Steps jumped from 0.39 mg/L to 1.29 mg/L (3.3x increase).
Phosphate Flushing (1.34 mg/L → 0.11 mg/L): Phosphate at Frog Rock dropped back down near normal high-tide baseline as phosphate diluted or bound to sediment following the 18 September peak.
Recovery of Tidal pH Buffer (pH 7.8): Marine pH increased to 7.8 at both locations up from pH 6.9 observed three days prior.
Combined Key Findings & Slack-Tide Discharge Event.
Initial Phosphate Acidic Flush (18 Sept): Phosphate spiked to 1.34 mg/L at Frog Rock (requiring a 50/50 dilution) and 0.58 mg/L upstream at Path by Steps (SN 30603 11000) alongside an acidic drop to pH 6.9–7.0.
Upstream Catchment Pressure (21 Sept): Nitrate LR upstream at Path by Steps jumped to 1.29 mg/L (up from 0.39 mg/L).
2. September Incident Comparison: Initial (18/09) vs. Follow-Up (21/09)
Sampling Site | Parameter | 18/09/2026 | 21/09/2026 | Baseline Target | Incident Trend & Assessment |
Path by Steps | Ammonia (mg/L) | 0.60 | 0.42 | < 0.10 | 📉 Easing but elevated |
(SN 30603 11000 - Upstream) | Phosphate (mg/L) | 0.58 | 0.19 | < 0.10 | 📉 Dropping toward baseline |
pH | 7.0 | 7.8 | 7.8 – 8.2 | 🟢 Saline buffer restored | |
Nitrate LR (mg/L) | 0.39 | 1.29 | < 0.90 | 🚨 Upstream catchment spike | |
Frog Rock | Ammonia (mg/L) | 0.45 | 1.64 | < 0.10 | 🚨 Severe point-source spike (16x baseline) |
(SN 30516 10348 - STW Outfall) | Phosphate (mg/L) | 1.34* | 0.11 | < 0.10 | 📉 Flushed back to baseline |
pH | 6.9 | 7.8 | 7.8 – 8.2 | 🟢 Saline buffer restored | |
Nitrate LR (mg/L) | 0.59 | 0.75 | < 0.90 | 📈 Mild increase |
*Note: 18/09 Phosphate at Frog Rock determined via 50/50 distilled water dilution after exceeding 0.90 mg/L.













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